1 answer sheet
2 Grading rule
Each main question is worth (2) points.
- (0): absent, materially false, circular, or confuses object types;
- (1): correct central idea with a missing definition, assumption, or proof step;
- (2): correct, explicit, and type-consistent.
Equivalent formulations are acceptable.
3 Part I — Measurability and information
3.1 Answer 1
A sigma-algebra (F^) satisfies:
- (F);
- (EFE^cF);
- (E_nF) for all (n_{n=1}^E_nF).
A probability space is a triple
\[ (\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P) \]
where (F) is a sigma-algebra and
\[ \mathbb P:\mathcal F\to[0,1] \]
satisfies
\[ \mathbb P(\Omega)=1 \]
and countable additivity on pairwise disjoint events.
3.2 Answer 2
For (G):
- (,G);
- complements swap ({1,2}) and ({3,4});
- every countable union reduces to one of the four listed sets.
Thus (G) is a sigma-algebra.
For (H), note
\[ \{1,2\}\cup\{1,3\} = \{1,2,3\}\notin\mathcal H. \]
Therefore (H) is not closed under unions and is not a sigma-algebra.
3.3 Answer 3
(X) is measurable iff
\[ X^{-1}(B)\in\mathcal F \qquad \forall B\in\mathcal E. \]
Preimages are used because they preserve complements and arbitrary unions:
\[ X^{-1}(B^c) = (X^{-1}(B))^c, \]
\[ X^{-1}\left(\bigcup_n B_n\right) = \bigcup_nX^{-1}(B_n). \]
Images do not generally preserve complements or intersections in the required way.
3.4 Answer 4
For any (CS),
\[ (f\circ X)^{-1}(C) = X^{-1}(f^{-1}(C)). \]
Since (f) is measurable,
\[ f^{-1}(C)\in\mathcal E. \]
Since (X) is measurable,
\[ X^{-1}(f^{-1}(C))\in\mathcal F. \]
Hence (fX) is measurable.
3.5 Answer 5
The fibres of (X) are
\[ F_0=\{\omega_1,\omega_2\}, \qquad F_1=\{\omega_3\}, \qquad F_2=\{\omega_4\}. \]
Therefore ((X)) consists of every union of these fibres:
\[ \begin{aligned} \sigma(X)=\{& \varnothing,\Omega, F_0,F_1,F_2,\\ &F_0\cup F_1, F_0\cup F_2, F_1\cup F_2 \}. \end{aligned} \]
Observing (X) distinguishes the three fibres but cannot distinguish (_1) from (_2).
3.6 Answer 6
The atomic masses are
\[ \mathbb P_X(\{0\}) = 0.1+0.2 = 0.3, \]
\[ \mathbb P_X(\{1\}) = 0.3, \]
\[ \mathbb P_X(\{2\}) = 0.4. \]
Therefore:
\[ \begin{array}{c|c} B&\mathbb P_X(B)\\ \hline \varnothing&0\\ \{0\}&0.3\\ \{1\}&0.3\\ \{2\}&0.4\\ \{0,1\}&0.6\\ \{0,2\}&0.7\\ \{1,2\}&0.7\\ \{0,1,2\}&1 \end{array} \]
3.7 Answer 7
In the real- or Euclidean-valued setting used here:
\[ Y\text{ is }\sigma(X)\text{-measurable} \iff \exists\text{ measurable }f\text{ such that }Y=f(X). \]
An estimator that uses only the information contained in (A) must be ((A))-measurable. The theorem then gives
\[ \widehat Z=g(A) \]
for some measurable (g). Conversely, every measurable (g(A)) is ((A))-measurable.
3.8 Answer 8
- (A) is a measurable map (R^d).
- (a) is a deterministic vector in (R^d).
- ((A)) is a collection of subsets of (), specifically a sub-sigma-algebra of (F).
- ({AB}=A^{-1}(B)) is an event in (F).
- (E[ZA]) is a random vector, defined up to almost-sure equality, and is ((A))-measurable.
3.9 Answer 9
The map
\[ z\mapsto Qz \]
is linear and continuous, hence Borel measurable.
Coordinatewise ReLU
\[ r(y)_i=\max(0,y_i) \]
is continuous, hence Borel measurable.
Since (Z) is measurable and compositions of measurable maps are measurable,
\[ A=r\circ Q\circ Z \]
is measurable.
4 Part II — Conditional expectation
4.1 Answer 10
A conditional expectation (Y=E[XG]) satisfies:
- (Y) is (G)-measurable;
- (YL^1);
- for every (GG), \[ \mathbb E[X1_G] = \mathbb E[Y1_G]. \]
It is unique up to almost-sure equality.
4.2 Answer 11
The two atoms of (G) are
\[ G_1=\{1,2\}, \qquad G_2=\{3,4\}. \]
On (G_1),
\[ \mathbb E[X\mid G_1] = \frac{0.1(2)+0.2(-1)}{0.1+0.2} = 0. \]
On (G_2),
\[ \mathbb E[X\mid G_2] = \frac{0.3(4)+0.4(0)}{0.3+0.4} = \frac{12}{7}. \]
Hence
\[ \mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G] = \left(0,0,\frac{12}{7},\frac{12}{7}\right). \]
4.3 Answer 12
The events in (G) are
\[ \varnothing,\Omega,G_1,G_2. \]
For (), both sides are zero.
For (G_1),
\[ \mathbb E[X1_{G_1}] = 0.1(2)+0.2(-1) = 0, \]
while
\[ \mathbb E[\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]1_{G_1}] = 0. \]
For (G_2),
\[ \mathbb E[X1_{G_2}] = 1.2, \]
while
\[ \mathbb E[\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]1_{G_2}] = (0.3+0.4)\frac{12}{7} = 1.2. \]
For (), add the two block identities.
4.4 Answer 13
(X) itself is (G)-measurable and integrable. For every (GG),
\[ \mathbb E[X1_G] = \mathbb E[X1_G]. \]
Thus (X) satisfies the defining properties of (E[XG]). By almost-sure uniqueness,
\[ \mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]=X \quad\text{a.s.} \]
4.5 Answer 14
The constant (E[X]) is (G)-measurable. For (GG), independence gives
\[ \mathbb E[X1_G] = \mathbb E[X]\mathbb E[1_G] = \mathbb E[X]\mathbb P(G). \]
Also,
\[ \mathbb E[\mathbb E[X]1_G] = \mathbb E[X]\mathbb P(G). \]
Hence the constant (E[X]) satisfies the defining property.
4.6 Answer 15
Let
\[ Y=\mathbb E[\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]\mid\mathcal H]. \]
Then (Y) is (H)-measurable.
For every (HH), since (HG),
\[ \begin{aligned} \mathbb E[Y1_H] &= \mathbb E[\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]1_H]\\ &= \mathbb E[X1_H]. \end{aligned} \]
Thus (Y) satisfies the defining property of (E[XH]). Uniqueness gives
\[ Y=\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal H] \quad\text{a.s.} \]
4.7 Answer 16
Let
\[ m=\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]. \]
Write
\[ X-\mathbb E[X] = (X-m)+(m-\mathbb E[X]). \]
Then
\[ \begin{aligned} \operatorname{Var}(X) &= \mathbb E[(X-m)^2] + \mathbb E[(m-\mathbb E[X])^2]\\ &\quad+ 2\mathbb E[(X-m)(m-\mathbb E[X])]. \end{aligned} \]
The cross term is zero because (m-E[X]) is (G)-measurable:
\[ \begin{aligned} \mathbb E[(X-m)(m-\mathbb E[X])] &= \mathbb E[ \mathbb E[(X-m)(m-\mathbb E[X])\mid\mathcal G] ]\\ &= \mathbb E[ (m-\mathbb E[X]) \mathbb E[X-m\mid\mathcal G] ]\\ &=0. \end{aligned} \]
Also,
\[ \mathbb E[(X-m)^2] = \mathbb E[\operatorname{Var}(X\mid\mathcal G)], \]
and
\[ \mathbb E[(m-\mathbb E[X])^2] = \operatorname{Var}(m). \]
4.8 Answer 17
Let
\[ m=\mathbb E[Z\mid\mathcal G], \qquad \mu=\mathbb E[Z]. \]
Use
\[ Z-\mu=(Z-m)+(m-\mu) \]
and expand the outer product. The cross terms vanish because
\[ \mathbb E[Z-m\mid\mathcal G]=0. \]
Thus
\[ \begin{aligned} \operatorname{Cov}(Z) &= \mathbb E[(Z-m)(Z-m)^T] + \mathbb E[(m-\mu)(m-\mu)^T]\\ &= \mathbb E[\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid\mathcal G)] + \operatorname{Cov}(m). \end{aligned} \]
Expectation of a random matrix is taken entrywise.
4.9 Answer 18
By definition,
\[ \operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid\mathcal G) = \mathbb E[(Z-m)(Z-m)^T\mid\mathcal G]. \]
Using linearity of trace and conditional expectation,
\[ \begin{aligned} \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid\mathcal G)) &= \mathbb E[ \operatorname{tr}((Z-m)(Z-m)^T) \mid\mathcal G ]\\ &= \mathbb E[\|Z-m\|^2\mid\mathcal G]. \end{aligned} \]
Taking expectations and applying the tower property gives
\[ \mathbb E[ \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid\mathcal G)) ] = \mathbb E\|Z-m\|^2. \]
4.10 Answer 19
If (A>0), then (Z=A).
If (A=0), then (Z), and conditionally (Z) is uniform on ([-1,0]). Therefore
\[ \mathbb E[Z\mid A=0] = -\frac12, \]
and
\[ \operatorname{Var}(Z\mid A=0) = \frac{1}{12}. \]
Hence
\[ h(a) = \begin{cases} -\frac12,&a=0,\\ a,&a>0. \end{cases} \]
The conditional variance is
\[ \operatorname{Var}(Z\mid A) = \begin{cases} \frac1{12},&A=0,\\ 0,&A>0. \end{cases} \]
Since (P(A=0)=1/2),
\[ \operatorname{MMSE} = \frac12\cdot\frac1{12} = \frac1{24}. \]
4.11 Answer 20
If (A>0), then (Z=A).
If (A=0), then (Z), so
\[ \mathbb E[Z\mid A=0] = -\sqrt{\frac2\pi}. \]
Thus
\[ h(a) = \begin{cases} -\sqrt{\frac2\pi},&a=0,\\ a,&a>0. \end{cases} \]
All conditional error occurs on (A=0). Therefore
\[ \operatorname{MMSE} = \mathbb P(Z\le0) \operatorname{Var}(Z\mid Z\le0) = \frac12\left(1-\frac2\pi\right). \]
4.12 Answer 21
For continuously distributed (A),
\[ \mathbb P(A=a)=0 \]
for each fixed (a), so the elementary ratio divides by zero.
The primary object is instead
\[ \mathbb E[Z\mid\sigma(A)], \]
defined by measurability and integral identities. Under standard regularity conditions it has a version
\[ h(A), \]
and one may use (h(a)) as a version of (E[ZA=a]). Values of (h) on sets of (A)-measure zero are arbitrary.
4.13 Answer 22
Since (Z) almost surely,
\[ A=\operatorname{ReLU}(Z)=Z \qquad\text{a.s.} \]
Therefore
\[ \mathbb E[Z\mid A] = A = Z \qquad\text{a.s.} \]
and the MMSE is zero.
5 Part III — (L^2) geometry and MMSE
5.1 Answer 23
\[ L^2(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P) = \{X:\Omega\to\mathbb R: X\text{ measurable and }\mathbb E[X^2]<\infty\}/\!\sim \]
where
\[ X\sim Y \iff X=Y\quad\text{a.s.} \]
The inner product and norm are
\[ \langle X,Y\rangle = \mathbb E[XY], \]
\[ \|X\|_{L^2} = \sqrt{\mathbb E[X^2]}. \]
If (X=Y) a.s., then
\[ \|X-Y\|_{L^2}=0. \]
A normed space must identify zero-distance objects.
5.2 Answer 24
\[ L^2(\Omega,\mathcal G,\mathbb P) \]
is the set of square-integrable (G)-measurable random variables modulo a.s. equality.
If (X,Y) are (G)-measurable, then
\[ aX+bY \]
is (G)-measurable for (a,bR), and remains square-integrable. Hence it is a linear subspace.
The projection theorem requires the subspace to be closed. This subspace is indeed closed in (L^2).
5.3 Answer 25
Let (M) be a nonempty closed linear subspace of a Hilbert space (H). For each (xH), there is a unique (mM) such that
\[ \|x-m\| = \inf_{v\in M}\|x-v\|. \]
This (m=P_Mx) is equivalently characterized by
\[ x-m\perp M, \]
meaning
\[ \langle x-m,v\rangle=0 \qquad \forall v\in M. \]
5.4 Answer 26
Let
\[ m=\mathbb E[X\mid\mathcal G]. \]
For (V=1_G), (GG), the defining property gives
\[ \mathbb E[(X-m)1_G]=0. \]
By linearity, this holds for every (G)-measurable simple function (V).
For general (VL^2(G)), choose simple (V_nV) in (L^2). Since (X-mL^2), Cauchy–Schwarz gives
\[ |\mathbb E[(X-m)(V-V_n)]| \le \|X-m\|_2\|V-V_n\|_2 \to0. \]
Since each
\[ \mathbb E[(X-m)V_n]=0, \]
the limit is zero.
5.5 Answer 27
Write
\[ Z-T=(Z-m)+(m-T). \]
Therefore
\[ \begin{aligned} \|Z-T\|^2 &= \|Z-m\|^2+\|m-T\|^2\\ &\quad+2(Z-m)^T(m-T). \end{aligned} \]
Taking expectations, the cross term is
\[ \mathbb E[(Z-m)^T(m-T)]. \]
The vector (m-T) is (G)-measurable, while
\[ \mathbb E[Z-m\mid\mathcal G]=0. \]
Hence
\[ \begin{aligned} \mathbb E[(Z-m)^T(m-T)] &= \mathbb E[ \mathbb E[(Z-m)^T(m-T)\mid\mathcal G] ]\\ &= \mathbb E[ \mathbb E[Z-m\mid\mathcal G]^T(m-T) ]\\ &=0. \end{aligned} \]
The decomposition follows.
5.6 Answer 28
Let
\[ \mathcal G=\sigma(A). \]
Every admissible estimator using only (A) is a square-integrable (G)-measurable random vector and therefore has the form (g(A)), up to a.s. equality.
Set
\[ m=\mathbb E[Z\mid A]. \]
Question 27 gives
\[ \mathbb E\|Z-g(A)\|^2 = \mathbb E\|Z-m\|^2 + \mathbb E\|m-g(A)\|^2. \]
The second term is nonnegative and is zero for (g(A)=m). Therefore
\[ \inf_g \mathbb E\|Z-g(A)\|^2 = \mathbb E\|Z-m\|^2. \]
The minimizer is unique as an element of (L^2), hence unique up to almost-sure equality.
If a candidate (g(A)) is not square-integrable, its squared risk is infinite or not an admissible finite-risk competitor.
5.7 Answer 29
Let
\[ m=\mathbb E[Z\mid A]. \]
Then
\[ \begin{aligned} L(Q) &= \mathbb E\|Z-m\|^2\\ &= \mathbb E[ \mathbb E[\|Z-m\|^2\mid A] ]\\ &= \mathbb E[ \operatorname{tr}( \mathbb E[(Z-m)(Z-m)^T\mid A] ) ]\\ &= \mathbb E[ \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid A)) ]. \end{aligned} \]
The second equality is the tower property. The third uses
\[ \|x\|^2=\operatorname{tr}(xx^T). \]
5.8 Answer 30
Since
\[ L(Q) = \mathbb E\|Z-\mathbb E[Z\mid A]\|^2, \]
we have (L(Q)=0) iff
\[ Z=\mathbb E[Z\mid A] \qquad\text{a.s.} \]
The right-hand side is ((A))-measurable, so this is equivalent to (Z) being ((A))-measurable up to a.s. equality.
By the factorization theorem, this is equivalent to the existence of measurable (g) with
\[ Z=g(A) \qquad\text{a.s.} \]
This only requires recovery on a set carrying probability one. The deterministic observation map may fail to be injective elsewhere, including on points or sets that the law of (Z) never visits.
5.9 Answer 31
The unrestricted class contains every measurable square-integrable function of (A). The affine class contains only
\[ BA+b. \]
The unrestricted optimum is
\[ \mathbb E[Z\mid A]. \]
Example: let (AN(0,1)) and define
\[ Z=A^2. \]
Then (Z) is already known from (A), so
\[ \mathbb E[Z\mid A]=A^2 \]
and the unrestricted MMSE is zero.
No affine function (bA+c) equals (A^2) almost surely under a nondegenerate Gaussian law. Hence the best affine risk is strictly positive.
5.10 Answer 32
Let
\[ Y=QZ. \]
Since (ZN(0,I_d)) and (Q) is orthogonal,
\[ Y\sim\mathcal N(0,I_d). \]
Also,
\[ Z=Q^TY \]
and
\[ A=\operatorname{ReLU}(Y). \]
For any decoder (g), define
\[ h(a)=Qg(a). \]
This is a bijection between measurable decoders (g) and measurable decoders (h). Since (Q) preserves norms,
\[ \begin{aligned} \|Z-g(A)\| &= \|QZ-Qg(A)\|\\ &= \|Y-h(\operatorname{ReLU}(Y))\|. \end{aligned} \]
Therefore
\[ L(Q) = \inf_h \mathbb E\| Y-h(\operatorname{ReLU}(Y)) \|^2. \]
The right-hand side depends only on the distribution of (Y), which is (N(0,I_d)) for every (Q). Hence (L(Q)) is constant.
6 Bridge problems
6.1 Bridge 1
If (Z) coordinatewise almost surely, then
\[ \operatorname{ReLU}(Z)=Z \]
almost surely. At (Q=I),
\[ A=Z, \]
so (g(a)=a) reconstructs (Z) exactly. Thus (L(I)=0).
Sparsity and the exponential amplitude distribution are irrelevant because only nonnegativity is used.
6.2 Bridge 2
The collision argument is incomplete because:
- the two points may both have probability zero;
- one or both points may lie outside the support of (Z);
- the collision may occur only on a null subset of latent space;
- the conditional law given the shared observation may still be degenerate almost surely;
- for continuous distributions, pointwise collisions do not by themselves establish positive conditional variance on a positive-probability set of observations.
The required claim is probabilistic, not merely set-theoretic.
6.3 Bridge 3
Since
\[ L(Q) = \mathbb E[ \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid A)) ], \]
and the integrand is nonnegative,
\[ L(Q)>0 \]
iff
\[ \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid A))>0 \]
with positive probability.
A concrete sufficient condition is: there exists a measurable set (B) in observation space with
\[ \mathbb P(A\in B)>0 \]
and a constant (>0) such that
\[ \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid A)) \ge\varepsilon \]
almost surely on ({AB}). Then
\[ L(Q)\ge \varepsilon\,\mathbb P(A\in B)>0. \]
The uniform lower bound can be weakened; it is enough that the nonnegative conditional trace be positive on a set of positive probability.
6.4 Bridge 4
Here
\[ QZ = \frac1{\sqrt2} \begin{bmatrix} Z_1-Z_2\\ Z_1+Z_2 \end{bmatrix}. \]
Since (Z_1,Z_2),
\[ A_2=\frac{Z_1+Z_2}{\sqrt2}. \]
Also,
\[ A_1 = \frac{(Z_1-Z_2)_+}{\sqrt2}. \]
On the region
\[ 0<Z_1<Z_2, \]
we observe
\[ A_1=0, \qquad A_2=\frac{Z_1+Z_2}{\sqrt2}. \]
Thus the observation reveals the sum but not the split.
A rigorous positivity proof can proceed by:
- restricting to the event that both coordinates are active;
- identifying the joint density on (0<z_1<z_2);
- changing variables to \[ s=z_1+z_2, \qquad u=z_1; \]
- showing that, conditional on a nontrivial interval of sums (s), the variable (u) has a nondegenerate conditional density on \[ 0<u<s/2; \]
- concluding that \[ \operatorname{Var}(Z_1\mid A)>0 \] on a positive-probability set of observations;
- hence \[ \operatorname{tr}(\operatorname{Cov}(Z\mid A))>0 \] there and (L(Q)>0).
The main technical issue is that conditioning on an exact continuous value of the sum requires a regular conditional distribution or a density calculation. Merely drawing the fibre is not enough.